[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$f8Dffi_ZPL3IaMtBunLYegYNFGxBjDv2suZ_BVEk2QY4":3},{"data":4},{"status":5,"platform":6,"publish_date":7,"subject_line":8,"free_content_html":9,"displayed_date":10,"id":11,"slug":12,"content_tags":13,"hidden_from_feed":14,"subtitle":15,"meta_default_title":8,"thumbnail_url":16,"preview_text":15,"enforce_gated_content":14,"created":17,"email_capture_popup":18,"meta_default_description":19,"newsletter_list_id":10,"title":8,"web_url":20,"split_tested":14,"authors":21,"audience":6},"confirmed","both",1776074400,"Steady Ground: One Pocket Kept Winning","\u003Cstyle>\n  p span[style*=\"font-size\"] { line-height: 1.6; }\n\u003C\u002Fstyle>\u003Cdiv style=\"padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:15px;padding-right:15px;padding-top:12px;\">\u003Cp style=\"color:#2D2D2D;color:var(--wt-text-on-background-color) !important;font-family:'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;\"> Gaps open used to be a special occasion. Now, they’re weekly. \u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fdiv>\u003Cstyle>\n  p span[style*=\"font-size\"] { line-height: 1.6; }\n\u003C\u002Fstyle>\u003Cdiv style=\"padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:15px;padding-right:15px;padding-top:12px;\">\u003Cp style=\"color:#2D2D2D;color:var(--wt-text-on-background-color) !important;font-family:'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;\"> Lately, I find myself looking for something constant, like a banister on a cruise ship. \u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fdiv>\u003Cstyle>\n  p span[style*=\"font-size\"] { line-height: 1.6; }\n\u003C\u002Fstyle>\u003Cdiv style=\"padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:15px;padding-right:15px;padding-top:12px;\">\u003Cp style=\"color:#2D2D2D;color:var(--wt-text-on-background-color) !important;font-family:'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;\"> So, let’s set aside the next short-term move (U.S. blockade has front crude up 8.8% at the open again) and zoom out from the noise. \u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fdiv>\u003Cstyle>\n  p span[style*=\"font-size\"] { line-height: 1.6; }\n\u003C\u002Fstyle>\u003Cdiv style=\"padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:15px;padding-right:15px;padding-top:12px;\">\u003Cp style=\"color:#2D2D2D;color:var(--wt-text-on-background-color) !important;font-family:'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;\"> In a market driven by options hedging and headline whipsaw, it’s far more valuable to find durable spots in the market. \u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fdiv>\u003Cstyle>\n  p span[style*=\"font-size\"] { line-height: 1.6; }\n\u003C\u002Fstyle>\u003Cdiv style=\"padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:15px;padding-right:15px;padding-top:12px;\">\u003Cp style=\"color:#2D2D2D;color:var(--wt-text-on-background-color) !important;font-family:'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;\"> I built the model using historical analogs, relative-strength studies, and forward return tests across breadth, cap weight, total market, Mag 7, semis, AI infrastructure, cyclicals, rates, and crude. \u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fdiv>\u003Cstyle>\n  p span[style*=\"font-size\"] { line-height: 1.6; }\n\u003C\u002Fstyle>\u003Cdiv style=\"padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:15px;padding-right:15px;padding-top:12px;\">\u003Cp style=\"color:#2D2D2D;color:var(--wt-text-on-background-color) !important;font-family:'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;\"> The same pocket kept winning. \u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fdiv>\u003Cstyle>\n  p span[style*=\"font-size\"] { line-height: 1.6; }\n\u003C\u002Fstyle>\u003Cdiv style=\"padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:15px;padding-right:15px;padding-top:12px;\">\u003Cp style=\"color:#2D2D2D;color:var(--wt-text-on-background-color) !important;font-family:'Helvetica',Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;\">\u003Cb>Also inside:\u003C\u002Fb> the Trump Truth Social Alpha Model. \u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fdiv>",null,"post_b6543090-ddf7-4f60-96f5-19af80a14c9a","steady-ground-one-pocket-kept-winning",[],false,"Three tests. Nine baskets. One answer.","https:\u002F\u002Fbeehiiv-images-production.s3.amazonaws.com\u002Fuploads\u002Fasset\u002Ffile\u002F9803480d-3b6f-4da0-9239-2908a1adcfe6\u002Fcrown_macro_cover__11_.png?t=1776048069",1776028837,true,"The market keeps whipsawing on Iran. We tested nine baskets to find the one pocket that kept winning through every headline.","https:\u002F\u002Fletter.nicholascrown.com\u002Fp\u002Fsteady-ground-one-pocket-kept-winning",[22],"Nicholas Crown"]