Mar 30, 2026
False Floor: The Dip Buyers Are Early
I cut 20% on Friday. Here is what the data says happens next.
Nicholas Crown
Last Friday, at the close, I reduced equity exposure by roughly 20%.
Five cross-asset signals made it clear I could not carry that risk into the weekend.
To pressure-test the decision, I spent the weekend building three separate models across 20 years of drawdown data.
The results surprised me.
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Content is for educational purposes only and is not personalized investment advice. Past or hypothetical results do not guarantee future outcomes. The views expressed are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Revise Wealth LLC. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. By accessing or reading this content, you agree to our terms and privacy policy.
Revise Wealth, founded by Nicholas Crown, serves as a sub-advisor to select RIAs and asset managers overseeing more than $50M in AUM.